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Miscellaneous And Off Topic Subjects

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  • The Oracle
    started a topic Miscellaneous And Off Topic Subjects

    Miscellaneous And Off Topic Subjects

    I hope most end up landing here. I'm gonna hang out here since this is one of my regular visits. Let's hope more follow.
    Last edited by lineygoblue; November 23rd, 2015, 07:52 PM.

  • Dr. Strangelove
    replied
    Briefly, It’s not all May’s fault but she didn’t help much. Boris shares plenty of blame himself.

    The problem with NI is that a hard border (with Ireland) would cause serious economic harm to both countries and threaten the last 20 years of peace. Both May and Johnson would probably be inclined to figure something out except for the fact that the Conservative Party is currently in a coalition with a Northern Ireland Unionist party who freaks out over any appearance that Belfast could become part of Ireland one day. If the Unionists suddenly bolt the coalition, the government would fall.

    Leave a comment:


  • Jeff Buchanan
    replied
    Boris Johnson has become the leader of the Conservative Party in British Parliament and will replace Theresa May as PM on Wednesday.

    Boris is very Trumpian in his world view except he is a smarter politician, doesn't have a twitter account - or if he does is smart enough not to use it like Trump does - and refrains from saying stupid stuff ..... most of the time. He is a character though but with a sense of humor which the Brits insist is an electable characteristic and must be present in those seeking high office.

    Oh, and if you think American politics and Issues are complex, if you can figure out all the shit going on in GB/NI that May left behind for Johnson to unfuck, please explain it to me.

    Leave a comment:


  • AlabamAlum
    replied
    Heh.

    Leave a comment:


  • THE_WIZARD_
    replied
    Great for keeping my lemonade cool in the summer...

    ...wait...that's not lemonade...

    Leave a comment:


  • AlabamAlum
    replied
    Wiz,

    How is the Styrofoam hip?

    Leave a comment:


  • THE_WIZARD_
    replied
    hello

    Leave a comment:


  • iam416
    replied
    He complained that the workers brought it to the media's attention, which was also very funny.
    Yes, there was much to guffaw about. Them communists are a funny lot.

    Leave a comment:


  • Ghengis Jon
    replied
    Trump threatens to tax US businesses over Guatemala.


    https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2019...7021563888671/



    Leave a comment:


  • AlabamAlum
    replied
    He complained that the workers brought it to the media's attention, which was also very funny.

    Leave a comment:


  • iam416
    replied
    I'm sure DSL already covered this -- Bernie Sanders has to cut hours of campaign staff in order to pay them $15 minimum wage: https://www.foxnews.com/politics/ber...mpting-mockery

    Heh. I mean, HEH.

    Leave a comment:


  • Jeff Buchanan
    replied
    Interesting commentary last night on the PBS News Hour about Trump's poll numbers. In the poll being analysed Trump has been at or above a 40% favorable rating for 3 consecutive months. Apparently that's an unusual amount of time to be at that high of a number.

    What further analysis revealed was that 54% of the people polled feel good about the economy and about they're own personal economic situation - that is usually enough to get a sitting president re-elected. The problem for Trump is that the numbers, while positive with respect to the voters perception of their sense of being better off than before, they don't like Trump. A stunning 74% in the poll of undecided voters wanted a D candidate that could beat trump while only 26% wanted a D candidate who shared their values.

    So, how does the undecided voter numbers affect the accuracy of polling data intended to predict presidential election results. I had no idea so I looked it up and found this:

    Accounting for undecided and uncertain voters is a challenging issue for predicting election results from public opinion polls. Undecided voters typify the uncertainty of swing voters in polls but are often ignored or allocated to each candidate in a simple deterministic manner. Historically this may have been adequate because the undecided voters were sufficiently small to assume that they do not affect the relative proportions of the decided voters. However, in the presence of high numbers of undecided voters, these static rules may in fact bias election predictions from election poll researchers and metapoll analysts. We examine the effect of undecided voters in the 2016 US presidential election compared with the previous three presidential elections. We show that there were a relatively high number of undecided voters over the campaign and on election day, and that the allocation of undecided voters in this election was not consistent with two‐party proportional (or even) allocations. We find evidence that static allocation regimes are inadequate for election prediction models and that probabilistic allocations may be superior. We also estimate the bias attributable to polling agencies, which is often referred to as ‘house effects’.

    https://rss.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/...111/rssa.12414

    Confirms how the hell DJT got elected when the polls indicated HRC would win convincingly - the undecided votes were not properly allocated in the polling numbers.

    I think we'll be in the same situation when it comes to the 2020 presidential election although, it seems to me based on the polling numbers I discussed above and from the PBS News hour commentary on them that the probability of undecideds voting for a D candidate because they don't want Trump re-elected is going to be or should be pretty high.

    Leave a comment:


  • crashcourse
    replied
    looks like biden is stretching out his lead again after falling into the clutches of kamela after last debate.

    love to see biden win--love to see him squirm when it comes to a debate one on one against trump

    so joe what do you think about the use of your intelligence agencies to try to smear a candidate and influence an election on your watch

    so joe what do you think about reussian meddling occurring on your watch and your bosses advice to trump not to worry about it

    so Joe what do you think about the ulkrainain gift to your son for multimillions of dollars.

    nothing would be better then to see Joe get the nomination

    Leave a comment:


  • iam416
    replied
    Meanwhile, Democratic Communist icon Paul Krugman (and others) are going after Senator Hawley for use of the word....cosmopolitan. Add cosmopolitan to the Betsy Ross flags as yet another of the infamous dog whistles the Democratic Communists see in all things. Of course, if you try telling them "Concentration Camp" has a very specific understanding they will resort to unimaginably vapid technical nuance.

    Leave a comment:


  • iam416
    replied
    PDJT hits new high in Marist poll (44!). Big shout out to the the Mod Squad.

    https://www.nationalreview.com/news/...h-in-new-poll/

    Leave a comment:

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